Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 77.248679 86.667163 96.318631 106.917548 118.199665 129.821504 142.669374
2025-01-12 61.737457 75.119132 89.473251 105.890271 124.026138 143.336498 165.340955
2025-01-19 51.214465 66.480521 83.447095 103.443839 126.122489 150.820763 179.532957
2025-01-26 46.674312 63.819089 83.412093 107.035792 134.349674 164.579348 200.215745
2025-02-02 42.543534 61.078022 82.809658 109.549795 140.990630 176.269378 218.346966
2025-02-09 37.268442 56.415599 79.487956 108.480858 143.153752 182.592392 230.170722
2025-02-16 32.753579 52.272775 76.431200 107.400767 145.024928 188.354142 241.162906
2025-02-23 29.731824 49.771370 75.169167 108.292729 149.071973 196.520648 254.836674
2025-03-02 26.653398 46.920596 73.245029 108.177827 151.753073 202.965966 266.418074
2025-03-09 24.241155 44.771047 72.056281 108.841806 155.271316 210.324320 279.016865
2025-03-16 21.388545 41.751188 69.527176 107.634100 156.348478 214.660159 287.963252
2025-03-23 19.810036 40.452463 69.201293 109.183683 160.797495 223.024257 301.687651
2025-03-30 18.461634 39.420910 69.208231 111.176764 165.854782 232.217126 316.542932
2025-04-06 16.276395 36.904189 67.013364 110.150614 167.009168 236.596839 325.589855
2025-04-13 13.891414 33.823428 63.831216 107.640300 166.131699 238.372679 331.400782
2025-04-20 13.438446 33.913277 65.211561 111.320574 173.259233 250.085517 349.337970
2025-04-27 12.729922 33.497911 65.806467 113.895178 178.936637 259.996658 365.093879
2025-05-04 11.169152 31.426249 63.819684 112.800514 179.738147 263.759332 373.277772
2025-05-11 9.759549 29.468871 61.891018 111.694310 180.453140 267.362558 381.230262
2025-05-18 8.915605 28.491415 61.416931 112.607843 183.828300 274.318471 393.331788
2025-05-25 7.936176 27.132716 60.265198 112.490166 185.779418 279.438459 403.141491
2025-06-01 7.193973 26.170535 59.691811 113.170164 188.781671 285.889681 414.611888
2025-06-08 6.183236 24.495276 57.860832 111.933293 189.123026 288.887247 421.736084